The desiccation of the Aral Sea basin and its delta has resulted in the loss of crops and agricultural potential, health challenges, loss of livelihoods and employment. The negative impacts are expected to worsen due to the impacts of climate change. In 2021, GGGI signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) for cooperation with the State Committee for Ecology and Environmental Protection (SCEEP, Currently the Ministry of Ecology, Environmental Protection and Climate Change) and signed a project agreement with KOICA to implement the “Green Rehabilitation Investment Project for Karakalpakstan Republic to Address the Impacts of the Aral Sea Crisis” (5.9 mln USD total, 2021-2024, acronym “Aral Sea GRIP”).
The project establishes viable Awareness-Raising, Capacity Development and Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) measures to allow communities of the most disaster-affected districts to pursue disaster-resilient sustainable livelihoods through climate-resilient agri-business models. Aral Sea GRIP also aims to provide the policy, financing, and investment frameworks to allow these to be scaled up. The project supports communities of the most disaster-afflicted districts in Karakalpakstan: Bozataw, Chimbay, Karauyzak and Kegeyli.
The activities are separated into four components, each ; with its own target outcome.
To fulfill the targets of the project, GGGI must complete the Outputs for all Components, measure them with the described means of verification and achieve the indicators listed below in Table 1 logical frame of the Aral Sea GRIP Project.
Table 1. Logical Frame of the Aral Sea GRIP Project | ||
Outcome & Output | Means of Verification | Indicator |
Outcome 1.
Aral Sea Development Program (policy guidance) adopted for and enacted in Karakalpakstan. |
Cabinet of Ministers Resolution (or other relevant government authorization) | (A) IO2.1 1 green growth policies adopted by governments with GGGI’s support.
(B) IO4.1 1,923,700 beneficiaries assisted through GGGI’s poverty aligned projects, disaggregated by gender. |
Output 1.1. Two technical analyses (CRGG & GRIA) conducted and validated for the development of the Aral Sea Strategic Guidance/Policy Document framing the Aral Sea Development Program. | Government’s written endorsement/confirmation of CRGG & GRIA; # of workshop reports | (C) IO2.1 2 completed advisory outputs that inform the development of government green growth policies. |
Output 1.2 Inception Action Plan to support Aral Sea Intra-agency Coordinating Mechanisms (Aral Sea ICM) for the Aral Sea Development Program developed. | Government’s written endorsement/confirmation of the Green Bond Development Plan (and priority projects) and Green employment assessment; # of consultation reports | (D) “O2.1 2 completed advisory outputs that inform the development of government green growth policies.
Number of consultations” (E) 3 consultations |
Outcome 2. Dehkan and private farmers (fermers) have increased resilience to climate and Aral Sea disaster risks | Dehkan and private farmers (fermers) have increased resilience to climate and Aral Sea disaster risks
Denominator: Total working population in Agriculture sector in Karakalpakstan (26,375) |
(F) IO4.1 26,375 (25% of total dehqon farmers and fermers population);beneficiaries assisted through GGGI’s poverty aligned projects, disaggregated by gender. |
(G)IO4.2 13188women supported through GGGI’s projects with targeted gender interventions, disaggregated by gender. | ||
(H)At least 25% of capacity building program participants from 4 districts use CSA/DRR knowledge, including approx. 50% women and approx. 25% youth (age 14-30) (Approx. 6,594) | ||
(I)At least 25% of capacity building program participants from 4 districts improved business practices in their small and medium sized businesses
(# to be determined) Denominator: No. of Module 6 participants |
||
Output 2.1 Climate and disaster risk resilience capacity is strengthened among dehkan farmers and fermers in 4 districts in Karakalpakstan | Stakeholders confirm/validate the risk profile; Capacity-building module accepted by Government and stakeholders; Participants confirm increased awareness and acquiring skills in resilience to climate and disaster risks | (J)At least 25% of the total population working in the agricultural sector in 4 districts participate in capacity building activities |
(K)O3.2 6green growth knowledge products delivered. | ||
(L)O4.1 100%of new projects that address poverty reduction and inclusiveness. | ||
Outcome 3. Local entrepreneurs of Karakalpakstan are equipped with climate resilient agri-business models | Financial statements of beneficiary enterprises; household income surveys of farmers | (M)IO1.1 Total 20,000,000 USD value of climate finance/green growth investment commitments secured with GGGI’s support, disaggregated by public and private sector financing.
(N)IO4.1 1,267 beneficiaries assisted through GGGI’s poverty aligned projects, disaggregated by gender. |
Output 3.1. Climate resilient agri-business models are established for farmers and MSMEs | “Consultation report on validation of CSA business models Completion report on CSA pilot implementation” | (O)O1.1 4 completed advisory outputs that inform decisions on green growth investments.
(P) 1 Letters of intent by private/public/non-profit institutions valued investment commitment mobilized of 20M USD from demonstrated business models (Q)O1.1 1 completed advisory outputs that inform decisions on green growth investments (R)O2.1 4 completed advisory outputs that inform the development of government green growth policies. |
Output 3.2. Business development platform established for farmers, MSMEs, and institutional enablers | One business development platform established and curriculum of capacity building programs uploaded; events/sessions organized and documented; government endorsement letter | (S) 1,700 consultancy services provided through BDP
(T) 4100 users registered in BDP (disaggregated by gender) (U)O3.2 1 green growth knowledge products delivered. (W) 10 consultants registered in BDP |
Outcome 4. Successful climate resilient agri-MSMEs and farmers across Karakalpakstan have improved access to finance from commercial banks and government green financing | MoU document | (X)IO1.1 Total10,000,000 USD value of climate finance/green growth investment commitments secured with GGGI’s support, disaggregated by public and private sector financing.
(Y)”IO4.1 500 beneficiaries assisted through GGGI’s poverty aligned projects, disaggregated by gender.” (Z) 1 MoU with the government and/or local financial institutions committing to the grant/credit guarantee facility |
Output 4.1. Risk mitigating financial solutions are developed to facilitate increased commercial lending for MSMEs utilizing climate resilient agri-business models identified in Output 3.1 | “GCF proposal; Government’s letter of intent to fund grant scheme” | (AA)O1.1 1 completed advisory outputs that inform decisions on green growth investments
(AB) 1 Letter of intent of government to fund and support the grant scheme |
Output 4.2. A capacity building program on climate finance for the NDA and financial institutions is established | Letter of appreciation from the participating NDA and local financial institutions | (AC)”O2.1 1 completed advisory outputs that inform the development of government green growth policies.”
(AD)O3.1 1 workshops and webinars delivered. (AE) 5 NDA and financial institutions which have completed the program |
Under Aral Sea GRIP Project, the main results obtained until June 2024 are:
1) Component 1, developed different policy inputs and knowledge products, like the Climate-Resilient Green Growth Assessment for the Republic of Uzbekistan, the Karakalpakstan Agriculture Risk Profile for a Climate Resilient Capacity Development, the Green Recovery Investment Analysis for Climate Resilient Agriculture in the Republic of Karakalpakstan; the Green Job Assessment; and currently is developing the White Paper – Policy recommendations on sustainable landscapes, climate-smart agriculture, and forestry development in the Aral Sea region for human well-being.
2) Component 2, four different Sets of Awareness Raising and Capacity Development training and sessions and a Media Campaign were conducted:
Target: 12,000 youth
ToT of 132 teachers + Class training to 12,223 youth (51% female)
Target: 2000 women
ToT of 20 nurses + In-person sessions for 2160 women (99% female, 32% youth)
Target: 2000 smallholder farmers
ToT of 20 farmers + In-person sessions for 2200 smallholder farmers (49% female, 21% youth)
In-person sessions for 446 smallholder farmers (61% female)
Total people reached in-person: 16,751
Four videos on clean air, water filtration, drip irrigation, biopest management disseminated through tv, radio and social media targeting 12,000 people (minimum) reached more than 1,5 million people/views.
Total people reached: 1,516,751 people. This fulfills the target of 26,375 people (Indicator A, Table 1).
3) Component 3, has developed different interventions to promote CSA technology adoption:
4) Component 4 has developed four business plans linked to the CSA agriculture models to support farmers’ access to finance resources. In addition, it has trained financial institutions and farmers on the CSA scope and business plans. Currently, it is working on a green bond framework for private banks to mobilize financial resources to support CSA and other green activities in Karakalpakstan and Uzbekistan.
Considering the logical framework of the Aral Sea Grip Project presented above, GGGI Uzbekistan’s Country Office needs extra technical capacity to support the data collection and information analysis to monitor the results obtained by the project.
The consultant will provide technical assistance to the GGGI Uzbekistan’s Country Office in overall monitoring (collecting, reviewing, and assessing) the results of the Aral Sea GRIP project, with a special emphasis on Component 2 (Awareness Raising) to facilitate the end-of-project evaluation.
Under direct supervision of the Project Manager, in close consultation with the Country Representative, the consultant will undertake the following tasks:
1. Components 1,3 and 4. Collect, review, process and classify any information required to complete the monitoring process of the Aral Sea GRIP Project. All the documentation should be organized in GGGI Uzbekistan SharePoint according to a specific protocol.
2. Component 2. Collect, review, process and classify any information required to complete the monitoring process of the Aral Sea GRIP Project. All the documentation should be organized in GGGI Uzbekistan SharePoint according to a specific protocol.
Youth: Phase 1
– Follow up with a significant sample of the 132 schoolteachers and, in coordination with GGGI staff, brief them about the next steps to obtain information about students who implemented at least one of GGGI’s behavioral change activities (Output: Online or in-person meeting(s) with teachers). These steps must include getting permission from the students’ parents to share the students’ information with GGGI and consultants hired by GGGI.
– Support the teachers in filling out the data collection tools created for this purpose with information from their students (Output can be: Database from Kobotool box, Microsoft forms, Excel doc). Support the teachers in getting and documenting consent to sharing of information. This should include the parent’s contact information so that the consultant can later contact the child through their parents.
– Deliver an overview of the teachers’ data collection support to GGGI to teachers’ extra work payment.
Youth: Phase 2
– Follow up with the most interesting students/student projects over the phone (Output: Short protocols in Word or Excel doc). For orientation: We are aiming for a sample of 123 students (1% of 12,223). The exact size of the sample must be agreed on with GGGI in advance.
– Conduct in-person visits to (the homes of) at least 6 students together with GGGI staff and only after receiving permission of the student’s parents, in close cooperation with the student’s teacher. Photograph and film the CCA measure implemented and write a short description of the measure, the student, and the surroundings in preparation for a future video recording (Output: Short narrative report in tabular format, with photos + signed permission from the student and their parents to use the info and visual materials collected)
Note: The final Data collection tools and outputs will be agreed with GGGI.
Adults:
3. Data collection on Set 2 (Health) + Set 3 (Farming) implementation:
a. Interview at least 8 trainers (half for Set 2 Health, half for Set 3 Farming), 40 direct beneficiaries (half for health, half for farming) and 40 indirect beneficiaries (Government Stakeholders, family members of session participants and more), on the processes and results of the sessions, focusing on lessons learned.
Note: The interview script should be elaborated in close coordination with GGGI staff and approved by the GGGI Project Manager.
b. Compare the CCA measures implemented by beneficiaries (i.e. students) to the materials used in the trainings conducted by the teachers (Output: Narrative report, Database from Kobotool box, Microsoft fors, Excel doc).
c. Calculate the completion of indicators H and I (Output: statistics in Excel doc).
Note: The final Data collection tools and outputs will be agreed with GGGI.
4. Prepare and conduct a handover meeting to present results to GGGI and the Evaluation Consulting Firm that will conduct the end-of-project evaluation.
a. Be available to the Project Evaluation consulting firm to answer questions about the findings.
Deliverables | Timeline | Payment | Note |
|
August 10, 2024 | 0% | Payments are subject to GGGI’s approval of deliverables.
|
|
August 31, 2024 | 20% | |
|
September 30, 2024 | 20% | |
|
October 31, 2024 | 20% | |
|
December 10 , 2024 | 30% |
* The contract start is expected between July 22, and July 31, 2024.
Minimum qualifications: